Marlins will try to rebound here tonight after losing 7-4 yesterday and I think they will. They send Andrew Miller who the Pirates have seen briefly. Miller will be in a similar bounce back start at home that he was in his last home start where he pitched 7 innings of 1 hit baseball against a Baltimore team that had success against LHP. Here he comes off a road start at TB one of the toughest places to pitch and he goes up against the Pirates. Miller is 4-0 in his last 4 at home as a favorite and he has a 3.11 era here with a 2-0 record. The question is will the Marlins hit for him against Zach Duke.
Duke comes in with limited starts against the Marlins but still the Marlins hitting .353 vs. Duke. His 3.64ERA on the road is pretty solid but much higher than it is at home. The Pirates are just 3-19 their last 22 as a dog +110-150, they are 0-4 in Dukes last 4 starts vs. the Marlins. He has 9ER in his last 2 road starts in 12IP. He'll be going on 4 days rest where the Pirates are 3-13 in his last 16 times doing that. Fade Duke here on the road where the Marlins have hit well vs. LHP. Marlins .270 average and 6.42 r/9 vs. LHP at home.
